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Table 5 Logistic regression for promotion from senior physician to chief physician

From: University hospitals as drivers of career success: an empirical study of the duration of promotion and promotion success of hospital physicians

 

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

OR (95% CI)

OR (95% CI)

OR (95% CI)

Career stage–specific control variables

Time in rank

1.60*** (1.37–1.88)

1.59*** (1.35–1.89)

1.61*** (1.36–1.91)

Time in rank squared

0.99*** (0.98–0.99)

0.99*** (0.98–0.99)

0.99*** (0.98–0.99)

Time to mid-level position

0.88* (0.80–0.97)

0.89* (0.81–0.98)

0.89* (0.81–0.98)

Age at middle career stage start

1.03*** (1.01–1.04)

1.03*** (1.02–1.04)

1.03*** (1.01–1.04)

Scientific degree

6.80*** (3.39–13.62)

6.13*** (2.98–12.63)

7.25*** (3.62–14.54)

Anaesthesia1

0.96 (0.42–2.20)

0.88 (0.38–2.04)

0.93 (0.41–2.12)

Surgery1

0.91 (0.51–1.63)

0.79 (0.44–1.43)

0.92 (0.52–1.65)

Gynaecology1

0.70 (0.30–1.60)

0.67 (0.29–1.54)

0.78 (0.33–1.84)

Paedatrics1

1.08 (0.32–3.64)

1.00 (0.28–3.55)

1.16 (0.34–3.98)

Other specialty1

0.86 (0.36–2.06)

0.82 (0.34–2.00)

0.91 (0.38–2.18)

General control variables

Previous hospital tenure

1.13*** (1.06–1.22)

1.13*** (1.05–1.21)

1.11** (1.03–1.19)

Inter-organizational move

159.83*** (84.42–302.61)

175.01*** (91.01–336.54)

115.97*** (60.59–222.00)

History of inter-organizational moves

1.30** (1.06–1.58)

1.29* (1.06–1.58)

1.26* (1.04–1.54)

Gender2

1.92 (0.52–7.04)

2.33 (0.59–9.14)

1.95 (0.52–7.33)

Explanatory variables

Time in university hospital at rank

0.95 (0.88–1.04)

  

Time in university hospital at rank

    

 1–2 years

  

0.43 (0.17–1.07)

 

 3–4 years

  

4.02* (1.12–14.48)

 

 5–6 years

  

1.06 (0.28–4.05)

 

 > = 7 years

  

0.27* (0.08–0.91)

 

University hospital yes/no (previous year)

  

0.09* (0.01–0.78)

Interaction3

  

11.18* (1.29–96.60)

Observations

2,971

2,971

2,971

Pseudo R-squared

0.570

0.577

0.576

Log likelihood

-288.2

-283.9

-284.6

  1. 1Reference category = internal medicine.
  2. 2Reference category = female.
  3. 3Interaction of inter-organizational move and university hospital yes/no (previous year).
  4. *** p <0.001; ** p <0.01; * p <0.05.